“The mental model of the climate threat among key people—particularly in senior parts of government—has yet to catch up with the fact that the nature of the climate threat includes things like tipping points,” he says. In his view, no government is considering scenarios like ice-sheet collapse with the seriousness afforded to other high-impact risks, such as pandemics. In fact, Mr Laybourn reckons, with the possible exception of the Nordic countries, most governments have not really been thinking about them at all.
Super ironic that the countries that are going to become much more habitable to humans are the ones most interested in preventing climate change.
If the major Atlantic sea currents get disrupted as badly as it seems they might, we’ll more likely end up freezing our asses off in truly arctic climates.
Focus on the increasing whiplash, not the changing averages.
Consider two identical regional climates that have the same average parameter. These two climates can have very different tendencies toward rapid extremes, one could feature much larger magnitude swings and the other could be a much more mild climate in comparison and on paper they might have the same average.
Super ironic that the countries that are going to become much more habitable to humans are the ones most interested in preventing climate change.
If the major Atlantic sea currents get disrupted as badly as it seems they might, we’ll more likely end up freezing our asses off in truly arctic climates.
Focus on the increasing whiplash, not the changing averages.
Consider two identical regional climates that have the same average parameter. These two climates can have very different tendencies toward rapid extremes, one could feature much larger magnitude swings and the other could be a much more mild climate in comparison and on paper they might have the same average.
But 40 degrees in Stockholm in summer.